July 17, 2026
A recent survey by Abacus Data reveals that many Canadians back the federal government’s initiative to acquire up to 12 new submarines for the navy. However, opinions are mixed when it comes to whether this program is a good use of taxpayer money.
After learning that the purchase could cost at least $24 billion and would be the biggest military buy in Canadian history, 56% of Canadians express support for the decision, with 25% strongly in favor. Only 18% oppose it, while another 18% are neutral and 8% feel they haven’t heard enough to form an opinion.
Support varies across regions, ranging from 54% in Ontario to 59% in Alberta. More significant differences show up based on demographics and political affiliations.
<p Nearly two-thirds of Canadians aged 60 and over approve of the purchase, whereas just over half of those under 60 do. Additionally, men show significantly more support than women-63% compared to 49%.
On the political front, Liberal voters are most supportive with 71% backing the purchase. A majority of both Conservative and Bloc Québécois voters also agree at 52%. Support is lower among NDP voters; however, even here, supporters outnumber opponents by a margin of 40% to 25%.
Support Dips When Considering Overall Costs
When informed that the total expenditure for the submarine program-including maintenance over many years-could hit $100 billion, public sentiment shifts towards division.
Almost half (48%) believe this program would be a smart investment for public funds while 36% see it as a poor use. An additional 16% remain uncertain.
The findings indicate that Canadians can differentiate between the strategic necessity for enhancing Canada’s submarine fleet and their views on its long-term financial viability.
Older Canadians continue to hold positive views-with 53% aged 60 and above considering it a wise expenditure. Among those aged between 18 and 29, opinions are nearly split: with only slightly more (46%) saying it’s a good use versus (45%) who disagree.
The gender disparity remains evident too; a majority of men (56%) think this program would be beneficial for public spending compared to just41 %of women who share this view.
Liberal voters are most convinced about its worthiness-62 %considering it as good value for public funds. Conservative respondents display divided opinions:45 %think it’s good use while42 %believe otherwise. NDP supporters show greater skepticism with34 %considering it beneficial versus49 %seeing it as detrimental.
Canadians Prefer European Options or Best Deals Over U. S. Purchases
When asked where Canada should source major military equipment from,38 %suggest buying from European allies while an almost equal37 %prefer selecting whichever supplier offers superior equipment at competitive prices.
A mere13 %advocate for procuring military gear from the United States;12 %remain unsure about their choice.
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The preference towards European suppliers appears strongest among older citizens , Quebec residents , as well as Liberal , NDP , and Bloc supporters. Over half of both Liberal party members along with Bloc backers prefer options from European allies. p >
Conservative voters tend toward different priorities. Among them ,42 %favor obtaining equipment based on quality/price ratio whereas24 %lean towards American vendors alongside another24 %who opt for European suppliers. p >
The Bottom Line p >
As noted by David Coletto , CEO of Abacus Data : p >
“The results suggest there is a fairly broad public constituency for strengthening Canada’s military capacity , including through what would be an unprecedented investment in new submarines.”
“But support for decision making is stronger than confidence regarding long-term value. Once Canadians consider possible $100 billion lifecycle costs , debate becomes far more contested.”
“It’s striking how few people instinctively lean towards purchasing military equipment from United States. Rather we find near-even splits between preferring supplies via Europe versus opting simply based upon best available goods at affordable prices.”
“Taken together these findings illustrate citizens’ openness toward substantial defense investments given perceived external threats alongside overall backing behind Carney administration agendas. Yet they expect government accountability in demonstrating value-for-money metrics whilst presenting clear strategic rationale along with compelling supplier selection cases.”
Methodology : p >
The survey was carried out online involving2 ,705 Canadian adults during period spanning July9 through15th2026. p >
Random sampling methods were utilized inviting panelists participating through partner panels typically known as double opt-in survey types mixed together minimizing potential biases stemming solely dependent upon one source methodology.
The data set underwent weighting consistent with census figures ensuring proper representation aligned across age demographics/gender educational levels & regional distributions. The margin error estimation relevant comparable probability-based random samples matching same size equals plus/minus1.9 percentage points19 times out20. Total percentages may not equate exactly100 due rounding-off consideration. Payment aspect involved funding sourced via Abacus Data Inc. About Abacus Data : We represent Canada’s most sought-after influential impactful polling market research firms frequently engaged by numerous esteemed respected brands organizations throughout North America. Utilizing advanced technology sound scientific principles ample experience deliver top-notch research-based advice clients providing global research capabilities emphasizing customer service attention detail & exceptional value propositions. Currently expanding reach across all territories within Canada US additionally accommodating new clientele aiming high-quality insight-driven investigations coupled within enlighten hospitality experiences. Our track record speaks volumes ; we ranked among precise pollsters producing insightful research results ensuing2015 federal elections consecutively maintaining performance excellence since2011 timelines. Contact uswith any inquiries whatsoever. Download our corporate profile detailing service offerings learn how we might assist your organization further!
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