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Sky-high inhabitants progress not more likely to change with out ‘aggressive’ reductions, says report
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Revealed Feb 12, 2025 • Final up to date 4 hours in the past • 4 minute learn
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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and members of his caucus announce cuts to immigration in an October press convention. Picture by Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press
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TOP STORY
Regardless of a sequence of Trudeau authorities pledges to dramatically curb immigration, a brand new report finds that Canadian inhabitants progress has largely caught to its beforehand sky-high ranges.
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In October, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau introduced a collection of recent controls on immigration designed to “pause population growth.” In a video on the time, Trudeau even expressed remorse that he hadn’t curbed immigration sooner, saying, “We could have acted quicker and turned off the taps faster.”
Though admissions of worldwide college students have gone down dramatically within the interim 4 months, a brand new evaluation by Desjardins finds that Canada remains to be accepting roughly the identical quantity of momentary overseas staff and everlasting immigrants.
As such, the report mentioned that Canadian inhabitants progress is about the identical because it was earlier than the October cuts, and isn’t more likely to change with out “more aggressive reductions.”
“We remain skeptical that the Government of Canada will be able to reach its (lower) target for admissions of newcomers,” it learn.
Desjardins added that the Trudeau authorities typically appears to make guarantees that it fails to satisfy, and that immigration discount is a chief candidate for this.
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“The federal government has struggled to meet some policy objectives in the past, and the prospect of meeting its new immigration targets is especially daunting given the administrative challenges associated with executing such a significant policy shift,” it learn.
Within the instant wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Trudeau authorities dialled up immigration consumption to the very best but seen in Canadian historical past.
Beginning in 2021, the Canadian inhabitants surged by 3.5 million in simply three years. That’s equal to including all the inhabitants of Metro Vancouver. At factors, Canada ranked as one of many quickest rising nations on earth. In 2021, Canada took in nearly precisely as many immigrants as america — regardless of being one tenth the dimensions.
This inflow of newcomers had the impact of holding Canadian GDP comparatively steady by sheer advantage of the truth that hundreds of recent shoppers have been being pumped into the economic system each week.
However, it got here at a large price in affordability and total social cohesion.
The previous level has been brazenly acknowledged by Ottawa. As early as 2023, Trudeau was saying that surging charges of momentary migration have put “pressure on the whole system,” significantly with regard to rents and residential costs.
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The latter level has proven up in a number of surveys of Canadians calling for immigration to be slashed. A Leger ballot from October discovered 65 per cent of respondents saying that too many immigrants have been coming to Canada.
In accordance with the Trudeau authorities’s revised immigration figures, Canada is meant to be on the right track for the inhabitants to lower in each 2025 and 2026 — the primary time the nation has skilled detrimental inhabitants progress for the reason that Second World Conflict. Throughout each years, Canada was alleged to see its inhabitants shrink by about a million.
Desjardins famous that the Trudeau authorities’s solely vital success on curbing immigration was to carry down the consumption of worldwide college students.
Final 12 months, there have been about 280,000 fewer college students as in comparison with 2023. And total, there have been round 468,000 fewer new non-permanent residents when accounting for momentary migrants who’ve voluntarily returned residence.
However the variety of momentary overseas staff remained “essentially unchanged,” with a lower of simply 1,700 (one per cent) and Ottawa’s pledged cuts to everlasting migration haven’t even kicked in but.
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In October, the Liberals pledged a 20 per cent minimize to the consumption of everlasting residents — from a deliberate 500,000 all the way down to 380,000.
Citing federal knowledge, Desjardins wrote “we have yet to see declines in PR admissions,” concluding “the federal government is still far from achieving its population targets.”
The report additionally famous that asylum claims have spiked dramatically in current months — a phenomenon pushed partly by worldwide college students claiming to be refugees following the expiration of their visas. Canada took in 28,000 asylum claimants in 2024; a 20 per cent improve over the 12 months earlier than.
IN OTHER NEWS
After a pair weeks of rising Liberal ballot numbers, a Leger ballot lastly simply requested individuals how they might vote in an election that pitted Prime Minister Mark Carney towards Conservative Chief Pierre Poilievre. The reply is above: A tie. And based on our favorite election modeller, Raymond Liu, 37 per cent for the Liberals would translate right into a 175-seat majority authorities.
One of many premier Canadian political questions of late is whether or not U.S. President Donald Trump is joking about his repeated threats to annex Canada and remodel it into the 51st U.S. state. Right here’s a fast evaluation of the positions:
Preston Manning, the populist godfather of the fashionable Conservative Get together, thinks it’s a joke. He informed True North that the proposition is clearly an “off the cuff” joke and blamed “central Canadian media” for taking it actually.Prime Minister Justin Trudeau thinks it’s not a joke. He was captured on a sizzling mic this week saying that it’s all a part of a plan to soak up Canada and exploit the nation’s crucial minerals.Conservative Chief Pierre Poilievre says he’s handled it as even much less of a joke than Trudeau. He informed Postmedia’s Brian Lilley he’s “always taken it seriously” and condemned the Liberals for “treating it wrongly as a joke.”A Pollara ballot revealed Tuesday discovered that simply 10 per cent of Canadians thought it was a joke. One other 47 per cent mentioned Trump wasn’t critical about it, however that the intention was intimidation quite than comedian impact. About one third of respondents thought the risk was legit.
To the layman, that is simply Liberal management candidate Mark Carney pretending to play hockey at a marketing campaign occasion with David McGuinty. However based on an eagle-eyed style watcher, Carney is carrying a pair of $2,000 Italian-made Zegna sneakers.
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