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Home » Canadian Politics » Pierre Poilievre’s Leadership Could Spell Trouble for Conservatives
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Canadian Politics

Pierre Poilievre’s Leadership Could Spell Trouble for Conservatives

January 29, 20264 Mins Read
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Pierre Poilievre’s Leadership Could Spell Trouble for Conservatives
Conservative Party of Canada Leader Pierre Poilievre looking a little Photoshopped circa 2023 (Photo: Screenshot of Conservative Party of Canada video).
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Many would argue that Pierre Poilievre is one of the least effective federal Canadian Conservative leaders in recent memory, only rivaled by Andrew Scheer.

Former federal Conservative leader Andrew Scheer (Photo: David J. Climenhaga).

He’s a political figure who squandered a massive 27-point lead in public opinion polls, resulting in a loss to the Liberals in the 2025 federal elections, despite them being vulnerable for months.

On that same night, he also lost his own seat in Ontario’s Carleton riding and had to bump an MP with less seniority from an Alberta riding that has reliably voted Conservative for ages-almost as long as dinosaurs roamed its valleys.

As a career politician and Ottawa insider, he hasn’t really done much else or achieved very much throughout his adult life. He’s never held what most people would consider a real job. Had he not been born in Calgary, he’d be a perfect example of the often-mentioned but rarely seen “Laurentian elite.”

He tends to be quite negative as a politician and appears to have fully embraced the MAGA mentality-or at least pretends to-in order to keep his Trump-influenced base happy in Alberta and Saskatchewan.

Given all this context, facing a leadership review after the election at the upcoming Conservative Party convention in Calgary tomorrow, Mr. Poilievre should realistically be seeking new political opportunities by next week.

Kurek 1Former and possibly future Battle River-Crowfoot MP Damien Kurek (Photo: Facebook/Damien Kurek).

Instead, it seems likely he’ll be endorsed for another term as leader of the Opposition party and get another chance at becoming Canada’s prime minister.

All signs indicate that despite being recognized for his skills as an active campaigner, Mr. Poilievre doesn’t seem equipped to adapt his strategies for today’s altered political and economic landscape. In simpler terms: same old approach, just different times.

Will Mr. Poilievre achieve Stephen Harper’s impressive 85-percent leadership vote following his loss in the 2004 election?

I wouldn’t bet against it!

There are some similarities between their situations. The Liberals did lose their majority back in 2004, which eventually led to Mr. Harper’s minority win in 2006. However, Mr. Harper was clearly on an upward trajectory while Conservatives may choose to believe Mr. Poilievre can pull off something similar-even though he isn’t Stephen Harper.

Carney 7Prime Minister Mark Carney (Photo: Lea-Kim/Creative Commons).

At that time, Paul Martin wasn’t exactly an inspiring leader on the rise either. And Prime Minister Mark Carney-despite what some Prairie Conservatives might say-appears to many Canadians as just the right person for today’s challenges.

Moreover, unlike Mr. Harper who took things step by step, the perpetually upset Mr. Poilievre tends to scare away many Canadians-including quite a few here on the Prairies.

Similar to Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, Mr. Poilievre has a significant Alberta caucus filled with separatist sympathizers. Although he wants to lead all of Canada-and presumably isn’t himself seeking Alberta’s separation or annexation-he’ll still need to tread carefully around those views within his own party or risk backlash from those going full Make Alberta Great Again on him.

Because of this dynamic, Calgary might not be the best place for Conservatives to host their convention this year. Count on numerous non-delegates closely monitoring events at this Conservative gathering happening there.

There’s considerable risk that we could see significant MAGA-style reactions erupting across Prairies soon enough. With one political ist actively supporting pro-separatist sentiments , even Damien Kurek has publicly defended constituents wanting either national breakup or ties with our neighbor southward.

“It is easier to demonize or slime them than it is to have a rational debate,” Mr. Kurek whined during discussions with ist Rick Bell.

ontariochronicleFormer Conservative PM Stephen Harper (Photo : Worldwide Speakers Group ).

Well , it’s necessary sometimes. If given half-a-chance , Mr. Kurekwill likely run again representing rural areas near Calgary if Mr. Poilievr decides retreating back towards familiar territory along les Laurentides suits him better. However , considering recent reports from The Dinger , it wouldn’t come entirely unexpected if next Conservative MPfor Battle River-Crowfoot were somehow affiliated with separatist causes too.

All things considered though, this development surely won’t bolster Mr. Poilievrorhisparty’s chances when facing capable candidates like Mr. Carneyin any upcoming elections. Unless, the current PM manages convincing additional Conservatives cross-over into opposing benches within Houseof Commons anytime soon!

After all , Mark Carney aligns closer towards progressive conservatism rather than typical Liberal ideals lately observed here. Besides, such distance isn’t actually vast; it might even feel momentarily uncomfortable ifan MPcan’t prevent Mr. Sheer stomping through their office uninvited!

Nevertheless, we shouldn’t completely count out Pierre Poilievr. As an impressive campaigner there exists demand among certain regions wantingthe MAGA rhetoric he’s knownfor offering us. Instead let’s remain mindful about how circumstances could shift down line; especially shouldsomething happen regardingour American President suddenly exiting stage left?

Ultimately selecting Pierre Poilievrto steerfederal Oppositionduringthis delicate periodof Canadianhistory appears like risky gambit indeed. Conservatives must brace themselves accordingly!

Best of luck folks !

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